Support for independence in Catalonia has gone up, shows a new poll: 47.2% of Catalans are in favor of independence and 43.2% are against it, compared to results from the last survey in July (46.7% versus 44.9% respectively).

The poll, published by on Friday by the Center for Opinion Studies (CEO), also sheds some light on the political situation: the pro-independence Esquerra Republicana (ERC) party would get the most seats in the Catalan parliament, if new elections were to be called, getting between 36 and 38, at least four more than they currently hold.

Pro-independence majority would be maintained in Catalan parliament

Inasmuch, the study also reveals that parties in support of a Catalan republic would keep their majority in the chamber. The most voted party in the last election, the Junts per Catalunya (JxCat) platform, currently with 34 MPs, would go down to 23-34. Meanwhile, far-left CUP would instead gain more representatives, going from 4 to 8-10.

Catalunya en Comú (CatECP) would better their results as well, going from 8 to 12-13, while unionist Ciutadans (Cs), currently the largest party in the Catalan chamber, would go from 36 to 29-30. The People’s Party in Catalonia would also lose seats, going from 4 to 2-3. Meanwhile, the Catalan Socialists (PSC) would maintain between 17-18 seats.

Results for Catalan parties in Spanish Congress

ERC would also be the most voted party in Catalonia for the Spanish congress, getting between 14 and 15 MPs, adding a minimum of 5 seats to the ones it currently holds. Next in line, gaining between 10 and 11 seats would be CatECP, losing at least one of the MPs they hold now.

Also losing representatives would be Carles Puigdemont’s party PDeCAT (from 8 to 6) and the People’s Party in Catalonia (from 6 to 1-2). Cs Catalan representatives would go up from 5 to 6-8, while the PSC would stay stable and maintain between 7 and 8 seats.

 

More info:  Political Opinion Barometer – English abstract