A no vote to independence would today be the result of a referendum on the independence of Catalonia, according to the barometer of the Centre for Opinion Studies (Centre d’Estudis d’Opinió – CEO) made public today. According to the survey (pdf), 50% come out in favour of a no vote (2% more than in the last barometer), and the yes voters would amount to 42.9% (1.2% down). The preferred option for the relationship between Catalonia and Spain is still that of an independent state: 37.6% say that Catalonia should be an independent state; 24% that it should be a state within a federal Spain; 29.3% an autonomous community, and 4% a region of Spain.

The CEO shows a tie in voting intention (13.3 %) between CiU and ERC looking to the 27 September elections. ERC lose 4 points compared to March, although the survey did not take into account the breakage of Convergència and Unió. The director of the CEO, Jordi Argelaguet, explained that the fieldwork was conducted between June 2nd and 24th, during the CiU crisis, which has prevented reflect the new reality. Podem is in third place in voting intentions with 10.8%, followed by PSC (9.2%), CUP (7.6 %) , Ciutadans (6.6 %), ICV (3.5%) and PP (2.4%).

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